European Under-21s Championship | Final
Jul 8, 2023 at 5pm UK
Chele Arena
England U21s1 - 0Spain U21s
Jones (45+4')
Gomes (24'), Colwill (45+6'), Gibbs-White (69'), Trafford (74'), Gibbs-White (90+11')
Gibbs-White (90+11')
Gomes (24'), Colwill (45+6'), Gibbs-White (69'), Trafford (74'), Gibbs-White (90+11')
Gibbs-White (90+11')
FT(HT: 1-0)
The Match
Match Report
England end their 39-year wait for Under-21 Euros glory in the most extraordinary circumstances with a 1-0 win over Spain in the final.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's European Under-21 Championship clash between England Under-21s and Spain Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Israel U21s 0-3 England U21s
Wednesday, July 5 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Wednesday, July 5 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England Under-21s | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Israel Under-21s | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Czech Republic Under-21s | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Germany Under-21s | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Last Game: Spain U21s 5-1 Ukraine U21s
Wednesday, July 5 at 8pm in European Under-21 Championship
Wednesday, July 5 at 8pm in European Under-21 Championship
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain Under-21s | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Ukraine Under-21s | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Croatia Under-21s | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Romania Under-21s | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-21s win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for England Under-21s had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest England Under-21s win was 1-0 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| England Under-21s | Draw | Spain Under-21s |
| 28.07% | 24.66% | 47.27% |
| Both teams to score 55.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.95% | 47.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.71% | 69.29% |
| England Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.42% | 30.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.19% | 66.81% |
| Spain Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.03% | 19.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.86% | 52.14% |
| Score Analysis |
England Under-21s 28.07%
Spain Under-21s 47.27%
Draw 24.65%
| England Under-21s | Draw | Spain Under-21s |
| 1-0 @ 7.24% 2-1 @ 6.91% 2-0 @ 4.29% 3-1 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.2% 3-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.07% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 6.11% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 9.84% 1-2 @ 9.39% 0-2 @ 7.92% 1-3 @ 5.04% 0-3 @ 4.26% 2-3 @ 2.99% 1-4 @ 2.03% 0-4 @ 1.71% 2-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.89% Total : 47.27% |
How you voted: England U21s vs Spain U21s
England Under-21s
71.4%Spain Under-21s
28.6%105
Form Guide
Build-up
